Validating Ionospheric Models Against Technologically Relevant Metrics

A. T. Chartier*, J. Steele, G. Sugar, D. R. Themens, S. K. Vines, J. D. Huba

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

New, open access tools have been developed to validate ionospheric models in terms of technologically relevant metrics. These are ionospheric errors on GPS 3D position, HF ham radio communications, and peak F-region density. To demonstrate these tools, we have used output from Sami is Another Model of the Ionosphere (SAMI3) driven by high-latitude electric potentials derived from Active Magnetosphere and Planetary Electrodynamics Response Experiment, covering the first available month of operation using Iridium-NEXT data (March 2019). Output of this model is now available for visualization and download via https://sami3.jhuapl.edu. The GPS test indicates SAMI3 reduces ionospheric errors on 3D position solutions from 1.9 m with no model to 1.6 m on average (maximum error: 14.2 m without correction, 13.9 m with correction). SAMI3 predicts 55.5% of reported amateur radio links between 2–30 MHz and 500–2,000 km. Autoscaled and then machine learning “cleaned” Digisonde NmF2 data indicate a 1.0 × 1011 el. m3 median positive bias in SAMI3 (equivalent to a 27% overestimation). The positive NmF2 bias is largest during the daytime, which may explain the relatively good performance in predicting HF links then. The underlying data sources and software used here are publicly available, so that interested groups may apply these tests to other models and time intervals.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2023SW003590
Number of pages16
JournalSpace Weather
Volume21
Issue number12
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Dec 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This paper uses ionospheric data from the USAF NEXION Digisonde network, the NEXION Program Manager is Annette Parsons. This product contains or makes use of IARPA data from the HFGeo program. The IARPA Program Manager is Dr. Torreon Creekmore. GS and ATC acknowledge support of NASA Heliophysics Grant 80NSSC21K1557. DRT acknowledges the support of Canadian Space Agency Grant 21SUSTCHAI.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023. The Authors.

Keywords

  • GPS
  • ham
  • HF
  • ionosphere
  • space weather
  • validation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

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