Practical diagnosis of cirrhosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using currently available non-invasive fibrosis tests

AFEF group for the study of liver fibrosis, M118 study group

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Abstract

Unlike for advanced liver fibrosis, the practical rules for the early non-invasive diagnosis of cirrhosis in NAFLD remain not well defined. Here, we report the derivation and validation of a stepwise diagnostic algorithm in 1568 patients with NAFLD and liver biopsy coming from four independent cohorts. The study algorithm, using first the elastography-based tests Agile3+ and Agile4 and then the specialized blood tests FibroMeterV3G and CirrhoMeterV3G, provides stratification in four groups, the last of which is enriched in cirrhosis (71% prevalence in the validation set). A risk prediction chart is also derived to allow estimation of the individual probability of cirrhosis. The predicted risk shows excellent calibration in the validation set, and mean difference with perfect prediction is only −2.9%. These tools improve the personalized non-invasive diagnosis of cirrhosis in NAFLD.
Original languageEnglish
Article number5219
Number of pages11
JournalNature Communications
Volume14
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 26 Aug 2023

Bibliographical note

Acknowledgements:
This work received grant support from Intercept, delivered to Angers University Hospital (JB). Philip N Newsome was supported by the Birmingham NIHR Biomedical Research Centre. This paper presents independent research supported in part by National institute for Health Research (NIHR) Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre at the University Hospitals Birmingham NHS foundation Trust and the University of Birmingham. (Grant reference number: BRC-1215-20009). The views expressed are those of author(s) and not necessarily those of NIHR or the department of Health and Social care. We thank Marc de Saint Loup, Sandra Girre, and Audrey Morisset for data collection and database construction.

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