Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests. / ForestPlots.

In: Science, Vol. 368, No. 6493, 22.05.2020, p. 869-874.

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ForestPlots. / Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests. In: Science. 2020 ; Vol. 368, No. 6493. pp. 869-874.

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@article{15d84a9096e74a648608e9b97a9fcbd2,
title = "Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth{\textquoteright}s tropical forests",
abstract = "The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (-9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth's climate.",
author = "ForestPlots and Lewis, {Simon L.} and Kofi Affum-baffoe and Carolina Castilho and Fl{\'a}via Costa and Sanchez, {Aida Cuni} and Ewango, {Corneille E. N.} and Wannes Hubau and Beatriz Marimon and Abel Monteagudo-mendoza and Lan Qie and Bonaventure Sonk{\'e} and Martinez, {Rodolfo Vasquez} and Baker, {Timothy R.} and Brienen, {Roel J. W.} and Feldpausch, {Ted R.} and David Galbraith and Manuel Gloor and Yadvinder Malhi and Shin-ichiro Aiba and Alexiades, {Miguel N.} and Almeida, {Everton C.} and {De Oliveira}, {Edmar Almeida} and D{\'a}vila, {Esteban {\'A}lvarez} and Loayza, {Patricia Alvarez} and Ana Andrade and Vieira, {Simone Aparecida} and Arag{\~a}o, {Luiz E. O. C.} and Alejandro Araujo-murakami and Arets, {Eric J. M. M.} and Luzmila Arroyo and {Aymard C.}, Gerardo and Baccaro, {Fabr{\'i}cio B.} and Banin, {Lindsay F.} and Christopher Baraloto and Camargo, {Pl{\'i}nio Barbosa} and Jos Barlow and Jorcely Barroso and Jean-fran{\c c}ois Bastin and Batterman, {Sarah A.} and Hans Beeckman and Begne, {Serge K.} and Bennett, {Amy C.} and Erika Berenguer and Lilian Blanc and Pascal Boeckx and Jan Bogaert and Damien Bonal and Frans Bongers and Matt Bradford and Adriane Esquivel-muelbert",
year = "2020",
month = may,
day = "22",
doi = "10.1126/science.aaw7578",
language = "English",
volume = "368",
pages = "869--874",
journal = "Science",
issn = "0036-8075",
publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",
number = "6493",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

AU - ForestPlots

AU - Lewis, Simon L.

AU - Affum-baffoe, Kofi

AU - Castilho, Carolina

AU - Costa, Flávia

AU - Sanchez, Aida Cuni

AU - Ewango, Corneille E. N.

AU - Hubau, Wannes

AU - Marimon, Beatriz

AU - Monteagudo-mendoza, Abel

AU - Qie, Lan

AU - Sonké, Bonaventure

AU - Martinez, Rodolfo Vasquez

AU - Baker, Timothy R.

AU - Brienen, Roel J. W.

AU - Feldpausch, Ted R.

AU - Galbraith, David

AU - Gloor, Manuel

AU - Malhi, Yadvinder

AU - Aiba, Shin-ichiro

AU - Alexiades, Miguel N.

AU - Almeida, Everton C.

AU - De Oliveira, Edmar Almeida

AU - Dávila, Esteban Álvarez

AU - Loayza, Patricia Alvarez

AU - Andrade, Ana

AU - Vieira, Simone Aparecida

AU - Aragão, Luiz E. O. C.

AU - Araujo-murakami, Alejandro

AU - Arets, Eric J. M. M.

AU - Arroyo, Luzmila

AU - Aymard C., Gerardo

AU - Baccaro, Fabrício B.

AU - Banin, Lindsay F.

AU - Baraloto, Christopher

AU - Camargo, Plínio Barbosa

AU - Barlow, Jos

AU - Barroso, Jorcely

AU - Bastin, Jean-françois

AU - Batterman, Sarah A.

AU - Beeckman, Hans

AU - Begne, Serge K.

AU - Bennett, Amy C.

AU - Berenguer, Erika

AU - Blanc, Lilian

AU - Boeckx, Pascal

AU - Bogaert, Jan

AU - Bonal, Damien

AU - Bongers, Frans

AU - Bradford, Matt

AU - Esquivel-muelbert, Adriane

PY - 2020/5/22

Y1 - 2020/5/22

N2 - The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (-9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth's climate.

AB - The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (-9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth's climate.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85085155504&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1126/science.aaw7578

DO - 10.1126/science.aaw7578

M3 - Article

VL - 368

SP - 869

EP - 874

JO - Science

JF - Science

SN - 0036-8075

IS - 6493

ER -