The value of an acute octreotide suppression test in predicting long-term responses to depot somatostatin analogues in patients with active acromegaly

BACKGROUND: The long-acting depot somatostatin analogues [octreotide LAR (LAR) and lanreotide (LAN)] are among the most effective available medical therapies for acromegaly. However, published data on a biochemical test suitable for predicting the responsiveness to these depot agents are lacking.

AIM: To investigate the value of an acute octreotide suppression test (OST) in predicting the responses to treatment with long-acting somatostatin analogues in patients with active acromegaly.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: Thirty patients with active acromegaly [mean GH in GH day curve (GHDC) > 5 mU/l] were subjected to an OST [hourly GH measurements for 6 h following 100 microg subcutaneous (s.c.) octreotide]. Subsequently, 14 patients were treated with LAR, 10 with LAN and 6 received both drugs at different times. The final response to treatment was evaluated when the subjects had achieved 'safe' GH levels (mean GH < 5 mU/l) or after receiving the maximal dose of each drug (maximum duration of treatment 6 months).

RESULTS: The nadir GH values during the OST were 2.6 +/- 2.5 mU/l (mean +/- SD, range 0.2-8.7) with a percentage fall of 84.8 +/- 15.7% (mean +/- SD, range 26-99%) from the baseline levels (26.2 +/- 31.5 mU/l, mean +/- SD). All the patients except one showed a decrease of greater than 50%. The mean time to achieve the nadir GH value was 3.8 +/- 1.6 h (mean +/- SD, range 1-6). The nadir GH levels showed a positive correlation with both pre-treatment (i.e. before commencing LAN or LAR) GH values during the GHDC (r = 0.63, P < 0.01) and IGF-I levels (r = 0.56, P < 0.05). The nadir GH values during the OST showed a positive correlation with the achieved mean GH levels in patients treated with LAR (r = 0.66, P < 0.01) but not in the ones treated with LAN. The criterion of GH < 5.25 mU/l during the OST had sensitivity 100%, specificity 80%, positive predictive value (PPV) 94% and negative predictive value (NPV) 100% in predicting achievement of 'safe' GH levels in patients treated with LAR. A less optimal prognostic profile was obtained for subjects treated with LAN with the criterion of GH < 6.05 mU/l during the OST providing sensitivity 92%, specificity 67%, PPV 92% and NPV 67%. The above cut-off GH levels had a PPV of only 77% and 60% in predicting normalization of IGF-I on treatment with LAR or LAN, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: The OST is a reliable tool for the selection of patients with active acromegaly who will achieve 'safe' GH levels on therapy with LAR. Its prognostic profile is less optimal for patients treated with LAN. If GH values during the test fall < 5.25 mU/l (in case of LAR treatment) or < 6.05 mU/l (in case of LAN treatment), there is a 92-94% chance of subsequently achieving 'safe' GH levels after up to 6 months treatment with either of these agents.