News shocks under financial frictions

Christoph Gortz, John Tsoukalas, Francesco Zanetti

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Abstract

We examine the dynamic effects of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts. First, a shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in credit spread indicators along with a robust improvement in credit supply indicators. Second, we establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of unforecastable movements in credit spread indicators. A DSGE model enriched with a financial sector of the Gertler-Kiyotaki-Karadi type generates very similar quantitative dynamics.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)210-243
Number of pages34
JournalAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Volume14
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Oct 2022

Keywords

  • TFP News shocks
  • Business cycles
  • DSGE
  • VAR
  • Bayesian estimation

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