Abstract
We examine the dynamic effects of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts. First, a shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in credit spread indicators along with a robust improvement in credit supply indicators. Second, we establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of unforecastable movements in credit spread indicators. A DSGE model enriched with a financial sector of the Gertler-Kiyotaki-Karadi type generates very similar quantitative dynamics.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 210-243 |
Number of pages | 34 |
Journal | American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics |
Volume | 14 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 31 Oct 2022 |
Keywords
- TFP News shocks
- Business cycles
- DSGE
- VAR
- Bayesian estimation