Impact of malignancy on outcomes in European patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the ESC-EHRA EURObservational research programme in atrial fibrillation general long-term registry

Background: Management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and malignancy is a clinical challenge given the paucity of evidence supporting the appropriate clinical management.

Purpose: To evaluate the outcomes of patients with active or prior malignancy in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients.

Methods: We analyzed patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry. We stratified the population into three categories (i) No Malignancy (NoM) (ii) Prior Malignancy (PriorM) and (iii) Active Malignancy (ActM). The primary outcome for this analysis was all-cause death among the three groups. The association between anticoagulant treatment, all-cause death and haemorrhagic events was also evaluated.

Results: Among the original 11 096 AF patients enrolled, 10 383 were included in this analysis (median age 71 years (interquartile range [IQR] 63–77, males 59.7%). Of these, 9 597 (92.4%) were NoM patients, 577 (5.6%) PriorM and 209 (2%) ActM. Patients with malignancy (prior or active) had a higher median age, median CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, compared to patients without malignancy (p
After a median follow-up of 730 days [IQR 692–749], 982 (9.5%) patients died. Among all deaths, the proportion of cardiovascular death was different according to the three groups (40.0% in NoM, 26.0% in PrioM and 22.2% in ActM, p=0.002). For all cause-death, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a progressively higher cumulative risk in the PriorM and ActM groups compared to NoM patients (Figure 1).

On multivariable Cox regression analysis, adjusted for CHA2DS2-VASc score, use of AC, type of AF and chronic kidney disease, ActM group was independently associated with a higher risk for all cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.23–3.76) while PriorM group was not.

Among PriorM and NoM patients, multivariable adjusted Cox regression analysis found that the use of any AC was independently associated with a lower risk for all-cause death (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.19–0.66; HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.54–0.81). No significant association between AC and all-cause death was found for ActM patients.

Conclusions: In a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients, active malignancy was found to be independently associated with all-cause death. Use of any AC was associated with a lower risk for all-cause death in patients with no malignancies and with prior malignancies, but with no significant association amongst patients with active malignancies.