An online hybrid prognostics ANFIS-PF method with an application to gearbox for RUL prediction

Atefeh Govahianjahromi, Jaehoon Kim, Moussa Hamadache, Dongik Lee

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Rotary components are dealing with performance degradation phenomenon, which contains the message of unexpected damages. Therefore, prognostics and health management (PHM), has been introduced to calculate and predict the remaining useful life (RUL) in order to prevent costly damages or repairs.

Data-driven, model-based and hybrid-based techniques are three main categories of PHM techniques. From the health monitoring view, the main idea is to use the experimental run-to-failure data as an intelligence-based model for our gearbox and predict the RUL with the probability (model) based method (Particle Filtering). Firstly, to perform our prognostics technique, we require the degradation information from gearbox. Therefore in duration of 10 days, we conduct a run-to-failure experiment for a test bench with initiative fault injection in day 7th. Period of last-three-days is considered as run-to-failure signal for proposed algorithm.

After preprocessing the data, we apply a combined prediction method ANFIS-PF, using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Particle Filtering (PF). ANFIS used as a prediction model tool, while the particle filter method was used to find a step-ahead behavior of the gear. ANFIS as a powerful data-driven method will model the prediction of degradation data and finally this model is applied to particle filtering to predict a-step-ahead of the gear behavior until failure will happen.

Meanwhile, some important signal characteristics known as condition indicators (CIs) have been extracted from the residual, energy, frequency based data processing. Then, the energy-based health index (HI) is calculated using threshold and sum of distributions, to show the degradation trend of tested gearbox. The online prediction results properly demonstrate the performances of the proposed ANFIS-PF algorithm, to predict the RUL of gearbox system with a 95% confidence boundary distribution.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationPHM Asia Pacific 2017
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the Asia Pacific Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2017
Pages284-290
Number of pages7
Publication statusPublished - 15 Jul 2017
EventAsia Pacific Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2017 - Ramada Plaza Jeju Hotel, Korea, Jeju, Korea, Republic of
Duration: 12 Jul 201715 Jul 2017
http://www.phmap.org/index_1.html

Conference

ConferenceAsia Pacific Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2017
Abbreviated titlePHM Asia Pacific 2017
Country/TerritoryKorea, Republic of
CityJeju
Period12/07/1715/07/17
Internet address

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