Personal profile
Research interests
Peter is interested in understanding and predicting climate change in both the past and future. Peter specialises in using Earth System models, particularly as applied to the periods prior to industrialisation.
Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals
In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person’s work contributes towards the following SDG(s):
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SDG 13 Climate Action -
SDG 15 Life on Land
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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Biogeophysical Impact of Land-Use Scenarios on Holocene Surface Temperatures
Hopcroft, P. O., Pirzamanbin, B., Goldewijk, K. K., Lindström, J., Dawson, A., Kaplan, J. O., Li, F. & Gaillard, M.-J., 28 Feb 2026, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 53, 4, 10 p., e2025GL118518.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile2 Downloads (Pure) -
Model evidence for distinct origins of glacial-interglacial and millennial signals in Greenland dust
Hopcroft, P. & Rousseau, D.-D., 18 Feb 2026, (Accepted/In press) In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
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A remote input of African dust to Last Glacial Europe
Rousseau, D.-D., Chauvel, C., Hopcroft, P. O., Gutiérrez, P., Saulnier-Copard, S., Antoine, P., Fuchs, M. & Ustrzycka, A., 27 Oct 2025, In: Communications Earth & Environment. 6, 12 p., 847.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open AccessFile2 Downloads (Pure) -
Enhanced frequency of multi-year El Niño-Southern Oscillation across the Holocene
Lu, Z., Schultze, A., Carre, M., Brierley, C., Hopcroft, P., Zhao, D., Zheng, M., Braconnot, P., Yin, Q., Jungclaus, J., Shi, X., Yang, H. & Zhang, Q., 31 Mar 2025, In: Nature Geoscience.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open Access -
Ensemble estimates of global wetland methane emissions over 2000-2020
Zhang, Z., Poulter, B., Melton, J. R., Riley, W. J., Allen, G., Beerling, D. J., Canadell, J. G., Flouet-Chouinard, E., Ciais, P., Gedney, N., Hopcroft, P., Ito, A., Jackson, R. & GCP CH4 modellers, 15 Jan 2025, In: Biogeosciences.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open Access
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Is Tropical Deforestation Contributing To The Rise In Atmospheric Methane? (DefMet)
Pugh, T. (Researcher), Gauci, V. (Principal Investigator), Comer-Warner, S. (Researcher), Hopcroft, P. (Researcher) & Esquivel Muelbert, A. (Researcher)
Natural Environment Research Council
1/10/24 → 29/02/28
Project: Research Councils
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Transforming our understanding of climate shifts in the North African dust belt and upskilling Earth System Models to simulate them
Hopcroft, P. (Principal Investigator)
Natural Environment Research Council
1/11/22 → 30/09/26
Project: Research Councils
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Accurate and precise alkenone records of atmospheric CO2 for the Pliocene and beyond to inform the future
Hopcroft, P. (Co-Investigator), Edgar, K. (Principal Investigator) & Dunkley Jones, T. (Co-Investigator)
Natural Environment Research Council
6/02/23 → 31/12/25
Project: Research Councils
Datasets
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Reassessing the value of regional climate modelling using palaeoclimate simulations
Armstrong, E. (Creator), Hopcroft, P. (Creator) & Valdes, P. J. (Creator), University of Bristol, 9 Nov 2019
https://www.paleo.bristol.ac.uk/ummodel/scripts/papers/Armstrong_et_al_2019_b.html
Dataset
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One the role of dust-climate forcing during the mid-Holocene
Hopcroft, P. (Creator), University of Bristol, 1 Dec 2018
https://www.paleo.bristol.ac.uk/ummodel/scripts/papers/Hopcroft_Valdes_2019.html
Dataset
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Reduced cooling following future volcanic eruptions
Hopcroft, P. (Creator), University of Bristol, 2017
https://www.paleo.bristol.ac.uk/ummodel/scripts/papers/Hopcroft_et_al_2017b.html
Dataset
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C++ code for global ground temperature history reconstruction
Hopcroft, P. (Creator), GitHub, 19 Mar 2020
Dataset