Will the current public transport network in Birmingham support passenger disembarking HS2?

By modelling potential passenger demand, the key question to the success of HS2 is “Will the current Birmingham Public Transport network best support passengers disembarking from High Speed 2?”. Birmingham, where is the final destination of HS2 project, needs to be considered on the transition of passenger from HS2 to their final destinations. Birmingham City Council have created a strategy for connectivity to the HS2 network and allows for the best flow of passengers from Birmingham Curzon Street to final destinations in the Birmingham area. This plan only provides a rudimentary guide as to the changes planned in Birmingham and the surrounding areas. Centro (2013) also provided a similar report demonstrating the changes and upgrades to transport services. Both reports gave comprehensive ideas to the changes planned for the transport network. The changes were planned by creating a model of potential passenger flows into Birmingham and around the city. This point gives new perspectives to create potential passenger flows based on an alternative model and data from other cities.

According to lacking of the data in Birmingham city, the collected data from Oyster card in London will be applied in this research. All public transport modes in London can be easily accessed by using the oyster card. Therefore, it shows exactly the proportions of people visiting certain areas of London from a single point station. The model will be created for a single station in London and compared with the Birmingham Curzon Street. Urban dynamics will be used to capture the passenger flows towards different urban areas. Similarities in the zones to Birmingham can be drawn out and using the limited publicly available data for Birmingham a projected model of Birmingham can be created. This can be used to estimate suggested changes to the transport network.