The local impact of typhoons on economic activity in China: A view from outer space

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Authors

Colleges, School and Institutes

Abstract

We examine the impact of typhoons on local economic activity in coastal China. To capture potential damages from an individual typhoon we use historical typhoon track data in conjunction with a detailed wind-field model. We then combine our damage proxy with satellite derived nightlight intensity data to construct a panel data set that allows us to estimate the impact of typhoons at a spatially highly disaggregated level (approx. 1km). Our results show that typhoons have a negative and significant, but short-term, impact on local activity – a typhoon that is estimated to destroy 50% of the property reduces local economic activity by 20% for that year. Over our period of analysis (1992–2010) total net economic losses are estimated to be in the region of $US 28.34 billion. To assess the damage risk from future typhoons we use simulated probability distributions of typhoon occurrence and intensity and combine these with our estimated effects. Results suggest that expected annual losses are likely to be around $US 0.54 billion.





Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)50-66
Number of pages17
JournalJournal of Urban Economics
Volume88
Early online date5 Jun 2015
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jul 2015

Keywords

  • China, Typhoons, Wind field model, Economic impact, Nightlight imagery