Inclusion of hazardous drinking does not improve the SCORE performance in men from Central and Eastern Europe: the findings from the HAPIEE cohorts

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Authors

  • Ruzena Kubinova
  • Sofia Malyutina
  • Andrzej Pająk
  • Galina Simonova
  • Martin Bobak
  • Hynek Pikhart

Colleges, School and Institutes

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The SCORE (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation) scale uses conventional risk factors for the prediction of the 10-year risk of fatal atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). The high-risk version of SCORE is recommended by the European Society of Cardiology for use in the populations of Central and Eastern Europe and former Soviet Union (CEE/FSU). Given the role of hazardous alcohol consumption as an important determinant of CVD mortality in CEE/FSU men, this study investigated whether adding hazardous drinking characteristics to the high-risk SCORE improves its prognostic performance in contemporary population-based male CEE/FSU cohorts.

METHODS: The HAPIEE (Health, Alcohol, and Psychosocial factors In Eastern Europe) study follows Czech (seven towns), Polish (Krakow), and Russian (Novosibirsk) cohorts from 2002-2005. In HAPIEE men (n = 8,927), 264 atherosclerotic cardiovascular deaths were registered over the median follow-up time of 6.2-8.1 years.

RESULTS: In HAPIEE men, the baseline levels of the high-risk SCORE ≥5% significantly predicted fatal CVD. After controlling for the high-risk SCORE, binge drinking (drinking ≥100 g of ethanol at least once a month) and problem drinking (≥2 positive answers to CAGE questionnaire) were inconsistently associated with fatal CVD. No marked improvement in calibration and discrimination was observed for the high-risk SCORE extended by these hazardous drinking indicators, and all values of integrated discrimination improvement were <0.5%.

CONCLUSIONS: Extending the high-risk SCORE by hazardous drinking parameters failed to improve its prognostic performance across male CEE/FSU population samples. Our findings tentatively support the use of the original high-risk SCORE in male CEE/FSU populations. More research is needed on the potential use of hazardous drinking in cardiovascular risk prediction.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1187
JournalBMC Public Health
Volume14
Publication statusPublished - 20 Nov 2014

Keywords

  • Adult, Alcohol Drinking, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cohort Studies, Europe, European Continental Ancestry Group, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Journal Article, Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't