Empirical comparison of univariate and multivariate meta-analyses in Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth reviews with multiple binary outcomes

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Authors

  • H. Blake
  • Ian R White
  • D. Jackson
  • J. J. Kirkham
  • J. Neilson
  • R. D. Riley

Colleges, School and Institutes

Abstract

Background: Multivariate meta-analysis (MVMA) jointly synthesizes effects for multiple correlated outcomes. The MVMA model is potentially more difficult and time-consuming to apply than univariate models, so if its use makes little difference to parameter estimates, it could be argued that it is redundant. Methods: We assessed the applicability and impact of MVMA in Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth (CPCB) systematic reviews. We applied MVMA to CPCB reviews published between 2011 and 2013 with two or more binary outcomes with at least three studies and compared findings with results of univariate meta-analyses. Univariate random effects meta-analysis models were fitted using restricted maximum likelihood estimation (REML). Results: Eighty CPCB reviews were published. MVMA could not be applied in 70 of these reviews. MVMA was not feasible in three of the remaining 10 reviews because the appropriate models failed to converge. Estimates from MVMA agreed with those of univariate analyses in most of the other seven reviews. Statistical significance changed in two reviews: In one, this was due to a very small change in P value; in the other, the MVMA result for one outcome suggested that previous univariate results may be vulnerable to small-study effects and that the certainty of clinical conclusions needs consideration. Conclusions: MVMA methods can be applied only in a minority of reviews of interventions in pregnancy and childbirth and can be difficult to apply because of missing correlations or lack of convergence. Nevertheless, clinical and/or statistical conclusions from MVMA may occasionally differ from those from univariate analyses.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)440-451
Number of pages12
JournalResearch Synthesis Methods
Volume10
Issue number3
Early online date6 May 2019
Publication statusPublished - 9 Sep 2019

Keywords

  • comparison, evidence synthesis, multivariate meta-analysis, univariate meta-analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas