Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout

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Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout. / Fieldhouse, Ed; Lessard-Phillips, Laurence; Edmonds, Bruce.

In: Party Politics, Vol. 22, No. 2, 01.03.2016, p. 241-256.

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Fieldhouse, Ed ; Lessard-Phillips, Laurence ; Edmonds, Bruce. / Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout. In: Party Politics. 2016 ; Vol. 22, No. 2. pp. 241-256.

Bibtex

@article{d8744faf2fa3416baf7dde9ce19ab4a6,
title = "Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout",
abstract = "Using an agent-based simulation of electoral participation, this paper examines the second order or cascade effects of an exogenous increase in turnout. Unlike most previous applications of agent-based modelling in political science, we adopt a descriptively complex rather than a simple model of behaviour. Experimenting with different levels of mobilisation allows estimation of the extent to which mobilisation spreads beyond the primary mobilisation target across the population as well as whether or not it survives over time. We argue that in a complex world cascade effects are smaller than previously thought. However, mobilisation effects can create secondary effects through habitual voting and increases in political interest and party affiliation, which reverberate over time, creating long-term spillover effects.",
keywords = "campaign, elections, simulation, social networks, turnout",
author = "Ed Fieldhouse and Laurence Lessard-Phillips and Bruce Edmonds",
year = "2016",
month = mar,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1177/1354068815605671",
language = "English",
volume = "22",
pages = "241--256",
journal = "Party Politics",
issn = "1354-0688",
publisher = "SAGE Publications",
number = "2",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout

AU - Fieldhouse, Ed

AU - Lessard-Phillips, Laurence

AU - Edmonds, Bruce

PY - 2016/3/1

Y1 - 2016/3/1

N2 - Using an agent-based simulation of electoral participation, this paper examines the second order or cascade effects of an exogenous increase in turnout. Unlike most previous applications of agent-based modelling in political science, we adopt a descriptively complex rather than a simple model of behaviour. Experimenting with different levels of mobilisation allows estimation of the extent to which mobilisation spreads beyond the primary mobilisation target across the population as well as whether or not it survives over time. We argue that in a complex world cascade effects are smaller than previously thought. However, mobilisation effects can create secondary effects through habitual voting and increases in political interest and party affiliation, which reverberate over time, creating long-term spillover effects.

AB - Using an agent-based simulation of electoral participation, this paper examines the second order or cascade effects of an exogenous increase in turnout. Unlike most previous applications of agent-based modelling in political science, we adopt a descriptively complex rather than a simple model of behaviour. Experimenting with different levels of mobilisation allows estimation of the extent to which mobilisation spreads beyond the primary mobilisation target across the population as well as whether or not it survives over time. We argue that in a complex world cascade effects are smaller than previously thought. However, mobilisation effects can create secondary effects through habitual voting and increases in political interest and party affiliation, which reverberate over time, creating long-term spillover effects.

KW - campaign

KW - elections

KW - simulation

KW - social networks

KW - turnout

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84959280534&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1177/1354068815605671

DO - 10.1177/1354068815605671

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:84959280534

VL - 22

SP - 241

EP - 256

JO - Party Politics

JF - Party Politics

SN - 1354-0688

IS - 2

ER -