Brexit the 2019 general election and the realignment of British politics

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Authors

  • David Cutts
  • Matthew J. Goodwin
  • Oliver Heath
  • Paula Surridge

Colleges, School and Institutes

External organisations

  • University of Kent
  • University of Bristol
  • Royal Holloway, University of London

Abstract

The outcome of the 2019 general election—a resounding Conservative majority and an unprecedented defeat for Labour—delivered a decisive electoral verdict for the first time in recent years following a period where British politics has been characterised by instability and indecision. In this article, we draw on aggregate-level data to conduct an initial exploration of the vote. What was the impact of Brexit on the 2019 general election result? How far has Brexit reshaped electoral politics? Was 2019 a ‘realignment election’? And, if so, what are the implications? With a focus on England and Wales we show that, although the Conservatives made gains deep into Labour’s working class heartlands, these gains have been a long time coming, reflected in Labour’s weakening relationship with working class Britain. As such, 2019 is not a critical election but a continuation of longer-term trends of dealignment and realignment in British politics.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7-23
Number of pages17
JournalThe Political Quarterly
Volume91
Issue number1
Early online date19 Feb 2020
Publication statusPublished - 30 Mar 2020

Keywords

  • Brexit, Britain, general election, turnout, voting

ASJC Scopus subject areas