Are non-fundamental equilibria learnable in models of monetary policy?

Seppo Honkapohja, Kaushik Mitra

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

36 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Recent models of monetary policy can have indeterminacy of equilibria, which is often viewed as a difficulty of these models. We consider the significance of indeterminacy using the learning approach to expectations formation. We employ expectational stability as a selection criterion for different equilibria and derive the expectational stability and instability conditions for forward-looking multivariate models, both without and with lags. The results are applied to several monetary policies.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1743-1770
JournalJournal of Monetary Economics
Volume51
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 11 Nov 2004

Keywords

  • Adaptive learning
  • Stability
  • Sunspots
  • Monetary policy

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