What drives inventory accumulation? News on rates of return and marginal costs

Christoph Gortz, Christopher Gunn*, Thomas Lubik

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We study the determinants of inventory accumulation in a structural vector autoregression (VAR) framework with news shocks. Specifically, we investigate how news shocks affect two key determinants of inventory movements, namely, rates of return and marginal costs. We establish that inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. We provide evidence that changes in external and internal rates of return are central to the transmission for such news shocks. We do not find evidence for a dominant role of marginal costs.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Money, Credit and Banking
Early online date17 Jul 2024
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 17 Jul 2024

Keywords

  • Structural VAR
  • Cost of Capital
  • News Shocks
  • Inventories

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