Valuing mortality risk reductions and health improvements: A life expectancy framework to harmonise policy traditions

  • Jytte Seested Nielsen*
  • , Susan Chilton
  • , Rebecca McDonald
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Many public polices directly affect an individual’s mortality risk. The value of longevity gains has traditionally been monetised through three different concepts: Value per Statistical life (VSL), Value per Statistical Life Year (VSLY) and Willingness-To-Pay for a Quality Adjusted Life Year (WTP-QALY).

By adopting gains in life expectancy as the unifying metric and combining it with preference-based information over health and longevity, we set out an approach that would generate three measures that are conceptually linked at the individual level. In particular, explicitly integrating preferences over health impacts would allow for the WTP-QALY to be estimated alongside the VSL and VSLY.

We argue that our approach has advantages over the direct and modelling methods developed in the literature to date. In addition, we clarify how using the proposed framework could deliver values allowing for consistent decision-making across policy domains and government departments in ex ante regulatory assessment, whilst simultaneously honouring the different empirical estimation practices across government departments.
Original languageEnglish
JournalRisk Analysis
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 3 Mar 2026

Bibliographical note

Not yet published as of 03/03/2026.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • value per statistical life
  • value per statistical life-year
  • Willingness-To-Pay for a Quality Adjusted Life Year
  • life expectancy

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Valuing mortality risk reductions and health improvements: A life expectancy framework to harmonise policy traditions'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this