Abstract
Background: The mutational landscape of SARS-CoV-2 varies at the dominant viral genome sequence and minor genomic variant population. During the COVID-19 pandemic, an early substitution in the genome was the D614G change in the spike protein, associated with an increase in transmissibility. Genomes with D614G are accompanied by a P323L substitution in the viral polymerase (NSP12). However, P323L is not thought to be under strong selective pressure.
Results: Investigation of P323L/D614G substitutions in the population shows rapid emergence during the containment phase and early surge phase during the first wave. These substitutions emerge from minor genomic variants which become dominant viral genome sequence. This is investigated in vivo and in vitro using SARS-CoV-2 with P323 and D614 in the dominant genome sequence and L323 and G614 in the minor variant population. During infection, there is rapid selection of L323 into the dominant viral genome sequence but not G614. Reverse genetics is used to create two viruses (either P323 or L323) with the same genetic background. L323 shows greater abundance of viral RNA and proteins and a smaller plaque morphology than P323.
Conclusions: These data suggest that P323L is an important contribution in the emergence of variants with transmission advantages. Sequence analysis of viral populations suggests it may be possible to predict the emergence of a new variant based on tracking the frequency of minor variant genomes. The ability to predict an emerging variant of SARS-CoV-2 in the global landscape may aid in the evaluation of medical countermeasures and non-pharmaceutical interventions.
Results: Investigation of P323L/D614G substitutions in the population shows rapid emergence during the containment phase and early surge phase during the first wave. These substitutions emerge from minor genomic variants which become dominant viral genome sequence. This is investigated in vivo and in vitro using SARS-CoV-2 with P323 and D614 in the dominant genome sequence and L323 and G614 in the minor variant population. During infection, there is rapid selection of L323 into the dominant viral genome sequence but not G614. Reverse genetics is used to create two viruses (either P323 or L323) with the same genetic background. L323 shows greater abundance of viral RNA and proteins and a smaller plaque morphology than P323.
Conclusions: These data suggest that P323L is an important contribution in the emergence of variants with transmission advantages. Sequence analysis of viral populations suggests it may be possible to predict the emergence of a new variant based on tracking the frequency of minor variant genomes. The ability to predict an emerging variant of SARS-CoV-2 in the global landscape may aid in the evaluation of medical countermeasures and non-pharmaceutical interventions.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 47 |
Number of pages | 23 |
Journal | Genome Biology |
Volume | 24 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 13 Mar 2023 |
Bibliographical note
Funding:This work was funded by U.S. Food and Drug Administration Medical Countermeasures Initiative contract (75F40120C00085) to JAH with Co-Is, MWC, ADD, AD, DAM, MGS, and LT. The article reflects the views of the authors and does not represent the views or policies of the FDA. The NHP work was funded by the Coalition of Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) and the Medical Research Council Project CV220-060, “Development of an NHP model of infection and ADE with COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) both awarded to MWC. This work was also supported by the MRC (MR/W005611/1) G2P-UK: A national virology consortium to address phenotypic consequences of SARS-CoV-2 genomic variation (co-Is ADD and JAH). JAH is also funded by the Centre of Excellence in Infectious Diseases Research (CEIDR) and the Alder Hey Charity. The ISARIC4C sample collection and sequencing in this study was supported by grants from the Medical Research Council (grant MC_PC_19059), the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR; award CO-CIN-01), and the Medical Research Council (MRC; grant MC_PC_19059). JAH, MGS, MWC, and LT are supported by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections at University of Liverpool in partnership with the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA), in collaboration with Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine and the University of Oxford (award 200907). LT is supported by a Wellcome Trust fellowship [205228/Z/16/Z]. PD and JKB acknowledge Institute Strategic Programme grant (no. BB/P013740/1) from the BBSRC.
Keywords
- SARS-CoV-2
- Evolution
- Selection
- Spike protein
- Polymerase
- NSP12
- COVID-19
- P323L