The impact of hurricane strikes on cruise ship and airplane tourist arrivals in the Caribbean

Pablo Carballo Chanfón; Preeya Mohan; Eric Strobl; Thomas Tveit

doi:10.1177/13548166211037406

The impact of hurricane strikes on cruise ship and airplane tourist arrivals in the Caribbean

Pablo Carballo Chanfón, Preeya Mohan^*, Eric Strobl, Thomas Tveit

^*Corresponding author for this work

Economics

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Abstract

We investigate the impact of hurricanes on airplane and cruise ship arrivals in the Caribbean. To this end, we construct a monthly panel of airline and cruise ship arrivals and hurricane destruction and employ a panel vector autoregressive model with an exogenous shock (VARX) to quantify the dynamic effects of tourist arrivals after a hurricane for 18 Caribbean countries over the period 2000–2013. The results suggest an immediate decline in the month of a strike and up to one month after on cruise ship (2.33 and 1.21 percentage points) and airplane (0.57 and 0.27 percentage points) arrivals. Moreover, a strong recovery in airplane arrivals in months 3–6 following a hurricane was sufficient to induce a net positive effect of around 2 percentage points of total tourist arrivals into the region.

Original language	English
Journal	Tourism Economics
Early online date	23 Aug 2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166211037406
Publication status	E-pub ahead of print - 23 Aug 2021

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2021.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Geography, Planning and Development
Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management

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10.1177/13548166211037406

ChanfónC2021impact
Carballo Chanfón, P., Mohan, P., Strobl, E., & Tveit, T. (2021). The impact of hurricane strikes on cruise ship and airplane tourist arrivals in the Caribbean. Tourism Economics. Copyright © The Author(s) 2021. DOI: 10.1177/13548166211037406
Accepted author manuscript, 1.32 MBLicence: None: All rights reserved

Cite this

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abstract = "We investigate the impact of hurricanes on airplane and cruise ship arrivals in the Caribbean. To this end, we construct a monthly panel of airline and cruise ship arrivals and hurricane destruction and employ a panel vector autoregressive model with an exogenous shock (VARX) to quantify the dynamic effects of tourist arrivals after a hurricane for 18 Caribbean countries over the period 2000–2013. The results suggest an immediate decline in the month of a strike and up to one month after on cruise ship (2.33 and 1.21 percentage points) and airplane (0.57 and 0.27 percentage points) arrivals. Moreover, a strong recovery in airplane arrivals in months 3–6 following a hurricane was sufficient to induce a net positive effect of around 2 percentage points of total tourist arrivals into the region.",

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The impact of hurricane strikes on cruise ship and airplane tourist arrivals in the Caribbean

Abstract

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ASJC Scopus subject areas

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