The gains and losses to predicting nominal income by disaggregating via the new classical aggregate supply and rational expectations hypotheses

M. J. Driscoll, J. L. Ford, A. W. Mullineux

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper we compaia the predictive power of two types of model of nominal income: one based on a simple single equation aggregate framework; the second disaggregated into price level and output components. The source of the decomposition of nominal income of the type of model that is considered here are the twin hypotheses of rational expectations and structural neutrality. The model chosen as being representative of this approach to macroeconomic model building and against which some single equation models are compared is Barro's [1978] model of the price level and output in the U.S.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)47-58
Number of pages12
JournalEmpirical Economics
Volume8
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 1983

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development

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