Statistical methods can be improved within Cochrane pregnancy and childbirth reviews.

Richard Riley, Simon Gates, James Neilson, Zarko Alfirevic

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

18 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To assess statistical methods within systematic reviews of the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group (CPCG). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We extracted details about statistical methods within 75 reviews containing at least 10 studies. RESULTS: The median number of forest plots per review was 52 (min=5; max=409). Seven of the 75 reviews assessed publication bias or explained why not. Forty-four of the 75 reviews performed random-effects meta-analyses; just 1 of these justified the approach clinically and none interpreted its pooled result correctly. Of 31 reviews not using random-effects, 26 assumed a fixed-effect given potentially moderate or large heterogeneity (I(2)>25%). In their Methods section, 25 (33%) of the 75 reviews said I(2) was used to decide between fixed-effect and random-effects; however, in 12 of these (48%) reviews, this was not carried out in their Results section. Of 72 reviews with moderate or large heterogeneity, 47 (65%) did not explore the causes of heterogeneity or justify why not. CONCLUSION: Within CPCG reviews, publication bias is rarely addressed; heterogeneity is often not appropriately considered, and random-effects analyses are incorrectly interpreted. How these shortcomings impact existing review conclusions needs further investigation, but regardless of this, we recomment the Cochrane Collaboration increase "hands-on" statistical support.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)608-618
JournalJournal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume64
Issue number6
Early online date13 Dec 2010
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2011

Keywords

  • meta-analysis
  • systematic review
  • Cochrane Collaboration
  • heterogeneity
  • publication bias
  • random-effects

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