Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns

D. Jayaweera; S. Islam

doi:10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584

Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns

D. Jayaweera, S. Islam

Electronic, Electrical and Systems Engineering

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, however, potential vulnerability of networks into change in weather patterns can be modeled with uncertainties distributing along the time frame of study. This paper investigates this problem in detail and proposes an improved approach to model the change in weather patterns and to assess the security of supply in an active distribution network. The approach incorporates Monte Carlo simulation and captures weather patterns in three modes dynamically. A case study is performed on a 24 bus active distribution network model, and the results suggest that the security of supply can be significantly affected with change in weather patterns. Change in weather patterns by 50% of the nominal weather can result in impacts on security of supply up to three times the nominal impacts.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Number of pages	6
ISBN (Electronic)	978-1-4799-3561-1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584
Publication status	Published - 20 Nov 2014
Event	2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2014 - Durham, United Kingdom Duration: 7 Jul 2014 → 10 Jul 2014

Publication series

Name	International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
Volume	2014

Conference

Conference	2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2014
Country/Territory	United Kingdom
City	Durham
Period	7/07/14 → 10/07/14

Keywords

Active distribution networks
intermittent distributed generation
Monte Carlo simulation
security of supply
weather condition modeling

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
Control and Systems Engineering
Statistics and Probability

Access to Document

10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584Licence: None: All rights reserved

5 Citations
1 Paper

Security Assessment in Active Distribution Networks with Change in Weather Patterns
Jayaweera, D. & Islam, S., 7 Jul 2014.
Research output: Contribution to conference (unpublished) › Paper › peer-review

Cite this

Jayaweera, D., & Islam, S. (2014). Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns. In 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) Article 6960584 (International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS); Vol. 2014). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584

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title = "Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns",

abstract = "Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, however, potential vulnerability of networks into change in weather patterns can be modeled with uncertainties distributing along the time frame of study. This paper investigates this problem in detail and proposes an improved approach to model the change in weather patterns and to assess the security of supply in an active distribution network. The approach incorporates Monte Carlo simulation and captures weather patterns in three modes dynamically. A case study is performed on a 24 bus active distribution network model, and the results suggest that the security of supply can be significantly affected with change in weather patterns. Change in weather patterns by 50% of the nominal weather can result in impacts on security of supply up to three times the nominal impacts.",

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publisher = "Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)",

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Jayaweera, D & Islam, S 2014, Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns. in 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)., 6960584, International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), vol. 2014, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2014, Durham, United Kingdom, 7/07/14. https://doi.org/10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584

Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns. / Jayaweera, D.; Islam, S.
2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2014. 6960584 (International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS); Vol. 2014).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

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N2 - Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, however, potential vulnerability of networks into change in weather patterns can be modeled with uncertainties distributing along the time frame of study. This paper investigates this problem in detail and proposes an improved approach to model the change in weather patterns and to assess the security of supply in an active distribution network. The approach incorporates Monte Carlo simulation and captures weather patterns in three modes dynamically. A case study is performed on a 24 bus active distribution network model, and the results suggest that the security of supply can be significantly affected with change in weather patterns. Change in weather patterns by 50% of the nominal weather can result in impacts on security of supply up to three times the nominal impacts.

AB - Security of supply of an active distribution network is constrained with increased presence of intermittent distributed generation, component outages, network constraints, change in weather patterns, and resource availability. Long term predictions of weather patterns are challenging, however, potential vulnerability of networks into change in weather patterns can be modeled with uncertainties distributing along the time frame of study. This paper investigates this problem in detail and proposes an improved approach to model the change in weather patterns and to assess the security of supply in an active distribution network. The approach incorporates Monte Carlo simulation and captures weather patterns in three modes dynamically. A case study is performed on a 24 bus active distribution network model, and the results suggest that the security of supply can be significantly affected with change in weather patterns. Change in weather patterns by 50% of the nominal weather can result in impacts on security of supply up to three times the nominal impacts.

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PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

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Jayaweera D, Islam S. Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns. In 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). 2014. 6960584. (International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)). doi: 10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960584

Security assessment in active distribution networks with change in weather patterns

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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Research output

Security Assessment in Active Distribution Networks with Change in Weather Patterns

Cite this