Quantifying the effects of high summer temperatures due to climate change on buckling and rail related delays in south-east United Kingdom

K Dobney, Christopher Baker, Andrew Quinn, Lee Chapman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

47 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Extreme high temperatures are associated with increased incidences of rail buckles. Climate change is predicted to alter the temperature profile in the United Kingdom with extreme high temperatures becoming all increasingly frequent Occurrence. The result is that the number of buckles, and therefore delays, expected per year will increase if the track is maintained to the Current standard. This paper uses a combination of analogue techniques and a weather generator to quantify the increase in the number of buckles and rail related delays ill the south-east of the United Kingdom. The paper concludes by assigning a cost to the resultant rise ill delays and damage before making recommendations on how these effects call be mitigated. Copyright (C) 2008 Royal Meteorological Society
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)245-251
Number of pages7
JournalMeteorological Applications
Volume16
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2009

Keywords

  • delay minutes
  • railway
  • buckle
  • climate change

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