Project Appraisal of Rail Projects Using Fuzzy Sets Theory

Marwa El Cheikh, Dana Al Sheikh, Michael Burrow

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

There are significant uncertainties associated with the economic evaluation of infrastructure projects and as a result methods have been developed to help quantify and manage the associated risk. To address the limitations inherent in traditional methods this paper proposes a new mathematical model, based on fuzzy sets theory which can be used as a decision support tool to select the preferred investment option. Thus the developed method serves as a readily implemented sensitivity analysis tool for use in the arena of uncertain decision-making.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)39-62
JournalThe International Journal of Railway Technology
Volume2
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2013

Keywords

  • fuzzy alpha-cut
  • plausible range
  • fuzzy sets theory
  • fuzzy present worth
  • fuzzy possibility theory
  • fuzzy benefit-cost ratio
  • fuzzy future worth

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