Pregnancy outcomes in women at high risk of preterm birth receiving a vaginal cervical cerclage with, or without, progesterone: A retrospective, secondary analysis of the C-STICH randomised controlled trial data

Background: Vaginal cervical cerclage and progesterone are established treatments for prevention of pregnancy loss and prematurity. There is limited data to assess the effect of these treatments in combination. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between progesterone and no progesterone treatment on pregnancy outcomes in women at high risk of preterm birth who had received a vaginal cervical cerclage.

Methods and findings: This is a secondary post-hoc analysis of women recruited to the C-STICH randomised controlled trial, which recruited in 75 obstetric units in the UK between 2015 and 2021. In the C-STICH trial, women with a singleton pregnancy, receiving a vaginal cervical cerclage due to a history of pregnancy loss or premature birth, or if indicated by ultrasound, were randomised to cerclage with braided or monofilament suture, with a primary outcome of pregnancy loss, defined as miscarriage, stillbirth, or neonatal death in the first week of life. In this secondary analysis, the primary outcome was pregnancy loss, defined as miscarriage and perinatal mortality, including any stillbirth or neonatal death in the first week of life. Secondary maternal outcomes included miscarriage and previable neonatal death; stillbirth; gestational age at delivery; preterm pre labour rupture of membranes, and sepsis. Secondary neonatal outcomes included early/late neonatal death and sepsis. For each outcome, regression models were fitted adjusting for prespecified prognostic variables.

From the 2,048 women recruited to C-STICH, 1943 (95%) women had a vaginal cerclage placed and available progesterone data. Of these, 834 (43%) women received progesterone and 1,109 (57%) did not receive progesterone. In women with primary outcome data available, in our predefined analysis pregnancy loss occurred in 49 (5.9%) of 832 women who received progesterone and 91 (8.3%) of 1,103 women who did not receive progesterone (adjusted* risk ratio 0.70 (95% confidence interval (CI) [0.50, 0.99]); adjusted risk difference −0.02 (95% CI [−0.04, −0.001], *adjusted for indication, obstetric history, surgical technique, and maternal age). Further exploratory analysis excluding women who had termination of pregnancy for foetal anomaly demonstrated a nonsignificant reduction in the risk of pregnancy loss. Key limitations of this study include a nonrandomised trial design and unknown confounding relating to variation in progesterone use.

Conclusion: In women with a vaginal cervical cerclage and concomitant progesterone there appears to be an association with a reduced risk of pregnancy loss. This combination therapy may be an important opportunity to further reduce the risk of pregnancy loss in this high-risk cohort.