Persistence and Market Timing Ability of Cryptocurrency Funds

  • Thomas Conlon*
  • , Diego Víctor De Mingo‐López
  • , Andrew Urquhart
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

Growth in cryptocurrency funds has followed the wider expansion of the cryptocurrency sector. In this paper, we study the performance persistence and market timing ability of cryptocurrency fund managers. We show that cryptocurrency funds produce remarkable levels of abnormal returns. Moreover, sorting by previous alpha provides compelling evidence of persistence in abnormal returns. Funds with previous excess abnormal returns have high ex post abnormal returns, while cryptocurrency factors explain only a small proportion of the variation in these returns. An ex post outperformance among funds displaying ex ante market timing skills is found, while these ex post abnormal returns can, in turn, be attributed to managerial timing abilities.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages26
JournalFinancial Management
Early online date2 Mar 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 2 Mar 2025

Keywords

  • cryptocurrencies
  • persistence
  • performance
  • crypto funds

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