Abstract
We examine the dynamic effects of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts. First, a shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in credit spread indicators along with a robust improvement in credit supply indicators. Second, we establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of unforecastable movements in credit spread indicators. A DSGE model enriched with a financial sector of the Gertler-Kiyotaki-Karadi type generates very similar quantitative dynamics.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 210-243 |
| Number of pages | 34 |
| Journal | American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics |
| Volume | 14 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 31 Oct 2022 |
Keywords
- TFP News shocks
- Business cycles
- DSGE
- VAR
- Bayesian estimation