Abstract
Learning with bounded memory in stochastic frameworks is incomplete in the sense that the learning dynamics cannot converge to a rational expectations equilibrium (REE). The properties of dynamics arising from such rules are studied for standard models with steady states. If the REE in linear models is in a certain sense expectationally stable (E-stable), then the dynamics are asymptotically stationary and forecasts are unbiased, but the economy has excess volatility. We also provide similar local results for a class of nonlinear models with small noise.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1437-1457 |
Journal | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control |
Volume | 27 |
Issue number | 8 |
Early online date | 16 May 2002 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Jun 2003 |
Keywords
- Convergence of learning
- Stability
- Excess volatility