Forecasting and evaluating the consequences of electoral change in New Zealand

Jack Vowles; Susan A. Banducci; Jeffrey A. Karp

doi:10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159

Forecasting and evaluating the consequences of electoral change in New Zealand

Jack Vowles^*
, Susan A. Banducci
, Jeffrey A. Karp

^*Corresponding author for this work

Government

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

The debate in New Zealand over whether to adopt a mixed-member proportional (MMP) system was based on a number of predictions about the effects of electoral systems. After four elections under MMP we are now in a better position to evaluate the validity of these claims. We find that both proponents and opponents made claims that proved to be true but there were also unforeseen consequences that neither side predicted.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	267-284
Number of pages	18
Journal	Acta Politica
Volume	41
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159
Publication status	Published - Sept 2006

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Political Science and International Relations

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10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159

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title = "Forecasting and evaluating the consequences of electoral change in New Zealand",

abstract = "The debate in New Zealand over whether to adopt a mixed-member proportional (MMP) system was based on a number of predictions about the effects of electoral systems. After four elections under MMP we are now in a better position to evaluate the validity of these claims. We find that both proponents and opponents made claims that proved to be true but there were also unforeseen consequences that neither side predicted.",

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AU - Banducci, Susan A.

AU - Karp, Jeffrey A.

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N2 - The debate in New Zealand over whether to adopt a mixed-member proportional (MMP) system was based on a number of predictions about the effects of electoral systems. After four elections under MMP we are now in a better position to evaluate the validity of these claims. We find that both proponents and opponents made claims that proved to be true but there were also unforeseen consequences that neither side predicted.

AB - The debate in New Zealand over whether to adopt a mixed-member proportional (MMP) system was based on a number of predictions about the effects of electoral systems. After four elections under MMP we are now in a better position to evaluate the validity of these claims. We find that both proponents and opponents made claims that proved to be true but there were also unforeseen consequences that neither side predicted.

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/34548329281

U2 - 10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159

DO - 10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:34548329281

SN - 0001-6810

VL - 41

SP - 267

EP - 284

JO - Acta Politica

JF - Acta Politica

IS - 3

ER -

Forecasting and evaluating the consequences of electoral change in New Zealand

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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