Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021

Claudia Dobes Kawatake de Sousa; Tassiane Cristina Morais; Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin; Isabella Portugal; Matheus Paiva Emidio Cavalcanti; Jorge de Oliveira Echeimberg; Lucas Cauê Jacintho; Rodrigo Daminello Raimundo; Khalifa Elmusharaf; Carlos Eduardo Siqueira

doi:10.36311/JHGD.V31.12770

Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021

Claudia Dobes Kawatake de Sousa^*, Tassiane Cristina Morais, Blanca Elena Guerrero Daboin, Isabella Portugal, Matheus Paiva Emidio Cavalcanti, Jorge de Oliveira Echeimberg, Lucas Cauê Jacintho, Rodrigo Daminello Raimundo, Khalifa Elmusharaf, Carlos Eduardo Siqueira

^*Corresponding author for this work

Applied Health Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

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Abstract

Introduction: coronavirus 2019 Disease (COVID-19) was quickly declared a pandemic, and Brazil is facing the most significant health and hospital crisis in its history. From March to June 2021 represented 50.8% of all deaths in the State of Espirito Santo.

Objective: to analyze the lethality and mortality by COVID-19 in the State of Espirito Santo from March 2020 to June 2021.

Methods: an ecological study was carried out, using a time series of public and official data available on the Health Department of the State of Espirito Santo, Brazil. Were considered information about cases and deaths (from March 2020 to June 2021) of COVID-19. Percentage case-fatality and mortality and incidence rates per 100,000 population were calculated. Time-series analyses were performed using the Prais-Winsten regression model, estimating the Daily Percent Change (DPC), and the trends were classified as flat, increasing, or decreasing. Significant differences were considered when p<0.05.

Results: 524,496 confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of June 30, 2021, and 11,516 progressed to death. The presence of cardiovascular diseases represents more than half of confirmed comorbidities (54.37%) in patients with COVID-19, followed by diabetes (19.95%) and obesity (9.34%). Men had higher mortality and lethality, especially in older age groups, but the incidence was higher among women. A characteristic profile of two waves was observed; the first wave was extended from March to October 2020 and the second complete wave from November 2020 to June 2021. During the second wave, high peaks of incidence, lethality, and mortality were recorded. At the end of the second wave, the incidence rate remained with increasing trends (p < 0.05), with a DPC of 2.06%.

Conclusion: the peak concentration of cases, deaths, and indicators of lethality, mortality evidenced even after one year of pandemic, characterizes the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, still in entire evolution in the State Espirito Santo and Brazil.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	507-520
Number of pages	14
Journal	Journal of Human Growth and Development
Volume	31
Issue number	3
Early online date	30 Nov 2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.36311/JHGD.V31.12770
Publication status	Published - 1 Dec 2021

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This research received no external funding

Copyright:
© 2021. 2021 Sousa CDK, Morais TC, Daboin BEG, Portugal I, Cavalcanti MPE, Echeimberg JO, Jacintho LC, Raimundo RD, Elmusharaf K, Siqueira CE.

Keywords

Case fatality
Covid-19
Mortality
Sars-cov-2

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Life-span and Life-course Studies

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.36311/JHGD.V31.12770

deSousaC2021EpidemiologicalFinal published version, 723 KBLicence: Creative Commons: Attribution (CC BY)

Cite this

de Sousa, C. D. K., Morais, T. C., Daboin, B. E. G., Portugal, I., Cavalcanti, M. P. E., de Oliveira Echeimberg, J., Jacintho, L. C., Raimundo, R. D., Elmusharaf, K., & Siqueira, C. E. (2021). Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021. Journal of Human Growth and Development, 31(3), 507-520. https://doi.org/10.36311/JHGD.V31.12770

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title = "Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Esp{\'i}rito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021",

abstract = "Introduction: coronavirus 2019 Disease (COVID-19) was quickly declared a pandemic, and Brazil is facing the most significant health and hospital crisis in its history. From March to June 2021 represented 50.8% of all deaths in the State of Espirito Santo. Objective: to analyze the lethality and mortality by COVID-19 in the State of Espirito Santo from March 2020 to June 2021. Methods: an ecological study was carried out, using a time series of public and official data available on the Health Department of the State of Espirito Santo, Brazil. Were considered information about cases and deaths (from March 2020 to June 2021) of COVID-19. Percentage case-fatality and mortality and incidence rates per 100,000 population were calculated. Time-series analyses were performed using the Prais-Winsten regression model, estimating the Daily Percent Change (DPC), and the trends were classified as flat, increasing, or decreasing. Significant differences were considered when p<0.05. Results: 524,496 confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of June 30, 2021, and 11,516 progressed to death. The presence of cardiovascular diseases represents more than half of confirmed comorbidities (54.37%) in patients with COVID-19, followed by diabetes (19.95%) and obesity (9.34%). Men had higher mortality and lethality, especially in older age groups, but the incidence was higher among women. A characteristic profile of two waves was observed; the first wave was extended from March to October 2020 and the second complete wave from November 2020 to June 2021. During the second wave, high peaks of incidence, lethality, and mortality were recorded. At the end of the second wave, the incidence rate remained with increasing trends (p < 0.05), with a DPC of 2.06%. Conclusion: the peak concentration of cases, deaths, and indicators of lethality, mortality evidenced even after one year of pandemic, characterizes the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, still in entire evolution in the State Espirito Santo and Brazil.",

keywords = "Case fatality, Covid-19, Mortality, Sars-cov-2",

author = "{de Sousa}, {Claudia Dobes Kawatake} and Morais, {Tassiane Cristina} and Daboin, {Blanca Elena Guerrero} and Isabella Portugal and Cavalcanti, {Matheus Paiva Emidio} and {de Oliveira Echeimberg}, Jorge and Jacintho, {Lucas Cau{\^e}} and Raimundo, {Rodrigo Daminello} and Khalifa Elmusharaf and Siqueira, {Carlos Eduardo}",

note = "Funding Information: This research received no external funding Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021. 2021 Sousa CDK, Morais TC, Daboin BEG, Portugal I, Cavalcanti MPE, Echeimberg JO, Jacintho LC, Raimundo RD, Elmusharaf K, Siqueira CE.",

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doi = "10.36311/JHGD.V31.12770",

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de Sousa, CDK, Morais, TC, Daboin, BEG, Portugal, I, Cavalcanti, MPE, de Oliveira Echeimberg, J, Jacintho, LC, Raimundo, RD, Elmusharaf, K & Siqueira, CE 2021, 'Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021', Journal of Human Growth and Development, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 507-520. https://doi.org/10.36311/JHGD.V31.12770

TY - JOUR

T1 - Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021

AU - de Sousa, Claudia Dobes Kawatake

AU - Morais, Tassiane Cristina

AU - Daboin, Blanca Elena Guerrero

AU - Portugal, Isabella

AU - Cavalcanti, Matheus Paiva Emidio

AU - de Oliveira Echeimberg, Jorge

AU - Jacintho, Lucas Cauê

AU - Raimundo, Rodrigo Daminello

AU - Elmusharaf, Khalifa

AU - Siqueira, Carlos Eduardo

N1 - Funding Information: This research received no external funding Copyright: © 2021. 2021 Sousa CDK, Morais TC, Daboin BEG, Portugal I, Cavalcanti MPE, Echeimberg JO, Jacintho LC, Raimundo RD, Elmusharaf K, Siqueira CE.

PY - 2021/12/1

Y1 - 2021/12/1

N2 - Introduction: coronavirus 2019 Disease (COVID-19) was quickly declared a pandemic, and Brazil is facing the most significant health and hospital crisis in its history. From March to June 2021 represented 50.8% of all deaths in the State of Espirito Santo. Objective: to analyze the lethality and mortality by COVID-19 in the State of Espirito Santo from March 2020 to June 2021. Methods: an ecological study was carried out, using a time series of public and official data available on the Health Department of the State of Espirito Santo, Brazil. Were considered information about cases and deaths (from March 2020 to June 2021) of COVID-19. Percentage case-fatality and mortality and incidence rates per 100,000 population were calculated. Time-series analyses were performed using the Prais-Winsten regression model, estimating the Daily Percent Change (DPC), and the trends were classified as flat, increasing, or decreasing. Significant differences were considered when p<0.05. Results: 524,496 confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of June 30, 2021, and 11,516 progressed to death. The presence of cardiovascular diseases represents more than half of confirmed comorbidities (54.37%) in patients with COVID-19, followed by diabetes (19.95%) and obesity (9.34%). Men had higher mortality and lethality, especially in older age groups, but the incidence was higher among women. A characteristic profile of two waves was observed; the first wave was extended from March to October 2020 and the second complete wave from November 2020 to June 2021. During the second wave, high peaks of incidence, lethality, and mortality were recorded. At the end of the second wave, the incidence rate remained with increasing trends (p < 0.05), with a DPC of 2.06%. Conclusion: the peak concentration of cases, deaths, and indicators of lethality, mortality evidenced even after one year of pandemic, characterizes the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, still in entire evolution in the State Espirito Santo and Brazil.

AB - Introduction: coronavirus 2019 Disease (COVID-19) was quickly declared a pandemic, and Brazil is facing the most significant health and hospital crisis in its history. From March to June 2021 represented 50.8% of all deaths in the State of Espirito Santo. Objective: to analyze the lethality and mortality by COVID-19 in the State of Espirito Santo from March 2020 to June 2021. Methods: an ecological study was carried out, using a time series of public and official data available on the Health Department of the State of Espirito Santo, Brazil. Were considered information about cases and deaths (from March 2020 to June 2021) of COVID-19. Percentage case-fatality and mortality and incidence rates per 100,000 population were calculated. Time-series analyses were performed using the Prais-Winsten regression model, estimating the Daily Percent Change (DPC), and the trends were classified as flat, increasing, or decreasing. Significant differences were considered when p<0.05. Results: 524,496 confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of June 30, 2021, and 11,516 progressed to death. The presence of cardiovascular diseases represents more than half of confirmed comorbidities (54.37%) in patients with COVID-19, followed by diabetes (19.95%) and obesity (9.34%). Men had higher mortality and lethality, especially in older age groups, but the incidence was higher among women. A characteristic profile of two waves was observed; the first wave was extended from March to October 2020 and the second complete wave from November 2020 to June 2021. During the second wave, high peaks of incidence, lethality, and mortality were recorded. At the end of the second wave, the incidence rate remained with increasing trends (p < 0.05), with a DPC of 2.06%. Conclusion: the peak concentration of cases, deaths, and indicators of lethality, mortality evidenced even after one year of pandemic, characterizes the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, still in entire evolution in the State Espirito Santo and Brazil.

KW - Case fatality

KW - Covid-19

KW - Mortality

KW - Sars-cov-2

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ER -

Epidemiological profile of COVID-19 in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, from March 2020 to June 2021

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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