Abstract
Social media usage in evacuations and emergency management represents a rapidly expanding field of study. Our paper thus provides quantitative insight into a serious practical problem. Within this context a behavioural approach is key. We discuss when facilitators should consider model-based interventions amid further implications for disaster communication and emergency management. We model the behaviour of individual people by deriving optimal contrarian strategies. We formulate a Bayesian algorithm which enables the optimal evacuation to be conducted sequentially under worsening conditions.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 1014-1023 |
Number of pages | 10 |
Journal | European Journal of Operational Research |
Volume | 249 |
Issue number | 3 |
Early online date | 23 May 2015 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 16 Mar 2016 |
Keywords
- Behavioural OR
- OR in disaster relief
- Decision analysis
- Humanitarian logistics
- Modelling