Assessment of the role of the Edinburgh dysphagia score in referral triage in a national service evaluation of the urgent suspected upper gastrointestinal cancer pathway

Umair Kamran, Dominic King, Matthew Banks, David Nylander, Sharan Shetty, Srisha Hebbar, Rupert Ransford, David Mitchell, Matthew Williams, Sanjay Gupta, Danny Cheung, Graham Baker, James Rees, Mark Fox, Barbara Ashall, Sophie Barker, John Greenaway, Miriam Jones, Matthew Caffrey, Sudarshan KadriMichael Glynn, Tony C Tham, Nicola Adderley, Nigel Trudgill, James Evans

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Abstract

Background
The British Society of Gastroenterology has recommended the Edinburgh Dysphagia Score (EDS) to risk-stratify dysphagia referrals during the endoscopy COVID recovery phase.

Aims
External validation of the diagnostic accuracy of EDS and exploration of potential changes to improve its diagnostic performance.

Methods
A prospective multicentre study of consecutive patients referred with dysphagia on an urgent suspected upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer pathway between May 2020 and February 2021. The sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) of EDS were calculated. Variables associated with UGI cancer were identified by forward stepwise logistic regression and a modified Cancer Dysphagia Score (CDS) developed.

Results
1301 patients were included from 19 endoscopy providers; 43% male; median age 62 (IQR 51–73) years. 91 (7%) UGI cancers were diagnosed, including 80 oesophageal, 10 gastric and one duodenal cancer. An EDS ≥3.5 had a sensitivity of 96.7 (95% CI 90.7–99.3)% and an NPV of 99.3 (97.8–99.8)%. Age, male sex, progressive dysphagia and unintentional weight loss >3 kg were positively associated and acid reflux and localisation to the neck were negatively associated with UGI cancer. Dysphagia duration <6 months utilised in EDS was replaced with progressive dysphagia in CDS. CDS ≥5.5 had a sensitivity of 97.8 (92.3–99.7)% and NPV of 99.5 (98.1–99.9)%. Area under receiver operating curve was 0.83 for CDS, compared to 0.81 for EDS.

Conclusions
In a national cohort, the EDS has high sensitivity and NPV as a triage tool for UGI cancer. The CDS offers even higher diagnostic accuracy. The EDS or CDS should be incorporated into the urgent suspected UGI cancer pathway.
Original languageEnglish
JournalAlimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics
Early online date5 Mar 2022
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 5 Mar 2022

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