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An options-pricing approach to forecasting the French presidential election
John Fry
*
, Thomas Hastings
,
Jane Binner
*
Corresponding author for this work
Finance
Research output
:
Contribution to journal
›
Article
›
peer-review
133
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Keyphrases
Pricing Approach
100%
Option Pricing
100%
French Elections
100%
Vote Share
66%
Monte Carlo Method
33%
Constant Flux
33%
Market Value
33%
Winning Probability
33%
Subjective Probability
33%
Macron
33%
Dominant Position
33%
2017 General Election
33%
Binary Option
33%
Option Price
33%
2022 Elections
33%
Popular Vote
33%
Incumbent Presidents
33%
French System
33%
Social Sciences
French
100%
Pricing
100%
Presidential Election
100%
Elections
75%
Price
50%
Market Price
25%
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Pricing
100%
Price
100%
Monte Carlo Simulation
33%