An Assessment of Brexit Risks for 54 Industries: Most Services Industries are also Exposed

Bart Los, Wen Chen, Philip McCann, Raquel Ortega Argiles

Research output: Working paper/PreprintDiscussion paper

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Abstract

In the UK as a whole, more than 2.5 million jobs are exposed to the trade effects of Brexit
• Annually, almost £140 billion pounds of UK economic activity is directly at risk because of Brexit
• Many important manufacturing and primary industries are highly exposed to Brexit, but so are many services industries (and not just the financial services industry)
• These services are not only exported directly to EU countries, but also sell intensively within domestic supply chains to UK manufacturing firms exporting to the EU
• Workers in the jobs at risk are on average slightly more productive than the average British worker – Brexit is likely to exacerbate the UK’s productivity problems
• The data on which this report is based are publicly available so the UK government could easily have undertaken this analysis itself
Original languageEnglish
PublisherUniversity of Birmingham
Publication statusPublished - 11 Dec 2017

Keywords

  • Brexit
  • Economic impact on industry

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